Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 107.955681 123.709045 141.869232 164.564721 192.470905 226.066646 2.701992e+02
2025-03-23 87.915121 108.075417 133.739557 169.624753 219.899670 290.133052 4.002120e+02
2025-03-30 73.365760 93.968081 121.797076 163.543871 227.291338 326.148852 5.033028e+02
2025-04-06 65.628278 86.924149 117.141597 165.290125 244.685118 380.459212 6.586596e+02
2025-04-13 59.205052 80.507273 111.940591 164.557740 257.144060 429.763040 8.309946e+02
2025-04-20 56.093190 78.334822 112.497862 172.725022 286.440631 520.261450 1.153522e+03
2025-04-27 54.300378 77.818859 115.397104 185.200252 327.059154 651.777433 1.706221e+03
2025-05-04 50.380560 73.450748 111.300313 184.169384 340.145858 726.541935 2.176435e+03
2025-05-11 47.491732 70.408679 108.998423 186.005160 359.860502 828.444065 2.904473e+03
2025-05-18 44.390241 66.688835 105.024900 183.780547 369.614019 908.150337 3.691712e+03
2025-05-25 42.418272 64.678945 103.855972 187.060579 393.810260 1048.157729 5.195110e+03
2025-06-01 40.008058 61.688318 100.525796 185.142551 404.106860 1148.684521 6.808665e+03
2025-06-08 37.008281 57.680208 95.353089 179.516254 406.330232 1237.100080 8.998548e+03
2025-06-15 35.497924 56.234698 95.028847 185.127880 444.097278 1517.325529 1.637878e+04
2025-06-22 32.900229 52.563963 89.859954 178.288708 441.540294 1612.111767 2.265553e+04
2025-06-29 31.426596 50.836378 88.402039 180.251983 468.666449 1902.510855 4.393658e+04
2025-07-06 29.851853 48.778572 86.019769 179.428465 486.315591 2171.524989 8.758404e+04
2025-07-13 29.245797 48.507255 87.352602 188.620696 545.592865 2856.218385 4.470948e+05
2025-07-20 29.006262 48.917194 90.200381 202.697401 633.866957 4088.591935 1.808727e+08
2025-07-27 27.703968 47.105401 87.888799 201.532589 656.441171 4764.816870 NaN
2025-08-03 26.720066 45.859261 86.730485 203.607092 696.203246 5870.554178 NaN
2025-08-10 25.531788 44.109506 84.226821 201.093304 712.548579 6754.270229 NaN
2025-08-17 24.796300 43.241525 83.711839 204.800168 764.976313 8730.020132 NaN